Best and Worst F1 Fantasy Picks for the Monaco Grand Prix

Charles Leclerc

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The odds on favorite to win his home Grand Prix, Charles Leclerc leads all drivers with 82 fantasy points over the past two seasons at Monaco. Charles received Driver of the Day honors in both races and the Ferrari veteran looks to make it three in a row at a circuit that suits the SF-26. Their top rival, Mercedes, approach their first race weekend after the FIA imposed new engine testing at hot temperatures and also hold a forgettable history at the Principality.

Leclerc is currently selected on 28% of teams, which should increase as players look to capture lightning in a bottle this weekend. Leclerc stands out as either a 2X DRS Boost, or a top Final Fix option for teams looking to conserve transfers.

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Lewis Hamilton

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Hamilton recorded two of his highest fantasy totals since joining Ferrari over the last four races. In Canada last time out, he finished second to only Kimi Antonelli with 42 points and took his first Driver of the Day award of the season. The seven time World Champion finished P5 at this race in 2025 and he holds the second best odds to win on Sunday.

For teams struggling to afford a top option, Hamilton slots in as a differential 2X option since he costs $1.1M less than Antonelli and $0.5M less than his teammate, Leclerc. Another intriguing play would be to pair Hamilton with Leclerc or Antonelli in a 2A driver lineup with Haas or another Tier B constructor.

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Lance Stroll

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After failing to finish his first three races this season, Stroll posted 28 fantasy points across Miami and Canada — the third most in Tier B over that stretch. While his Monaco record leaves little room for optimism (one top-10, two DNFs, five P14-P17 finishes) he needs -8 points or more to gain $0.6M. Essentially, Stroll just needs to finish this race for a maximum price rise.

Aston Martin appear to have solved the vibration issues that afflicted the team in March and April, and Stroll only recorded 2 DNFs all of last season despite the fact that his teammate, Fernando Alonso, led the grid in retirements. Proceed with cautious optimism that Stroll can deliver a price gain when fantasy strategists need it most.

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For a full breakdown of the best teams for this weekend, the most likely drivers to gain value, and the latest betting lines, check out the latest episode of The Fantasy Formula:

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Esteban Ocon

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A mainstay on the Buy list, Ocon stood on the 2023 Monaco podium in one of four top-10 finishes. He ranks tenth in fantasy scoring and needs just 5 points to gain $0.2M in value. With overtakes hard to come by at this circuit, picking midfield drivers in contention for Q3 is a safe choice.

Looking ahead, Barcelona consistently ranks among the top 8 overtaking circuits on the calendar, so rostering Ocon and the second highest overtake total on the grid sets a strong foundation after this weekend.

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Liam Lawson

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As once of the most selected drivers in the game at 29%, Lawson's situation this weekend presents a unique challenge. Racing Bulls consistently contend for Q3 and Lawson scored 23 points in Canada but the Kiwi needs 11 or more points to avoid a price drop. F1 Fantasy Tools currently predict Lawson's odds of losing value at 96%, which could signal a transfer for many players.

Once Lawson sheds his DNF and -12 point performance from Miami, he should rebound as a top cost cap builder in Barcelona but are fantasy strategists willing to ensure a drop this weekend?

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Valtteri Bottas

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The Finn erupted for 12 points in Canada, fueled by 9 overtakes across the Sprint and Grand Prix. Valtteri needs 1 fantasy point to gain $0.6M and -3 points to gain $0.2M, which equates to surviving a DNF or two and completing the race at the back of the grid. F1 Fantasy Tools set the odds of a Bottas DNF at 22.6% so if he can stay out of trouble, another cheap cost cap gain awaits. Most teams are expected to run at least one of Bottas, Stroll, and Gabriel Bortoleto as a low-cost, high-upside gamble.